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Mid-Year Outlook 2026

Insight

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Token Limit Exceeded
  • Macro

Token Limit Exceeded

From bragging rights to budget caps: what the corporate token economy tells us about enterprise AI adoption.

  • 27 August 2026
  • Read time: 5 mins
article
Joining the party late – Europe’s bullish turn
  • Podcast

Joining the party late – Europe’s bullish turn

After years of being the market’s perennial underdog, Europe is finally having a moment. In this episode Moz Afzal sits down with Gerry Fowler, Head of European Equity Strategy at UBS, to explore why sentiment on European equities has shifted and why this upgrade in tone looks structurally different from false dawns of the past. Gerry walks through the bottom-up story reshaping the market – from AI capex “late cycle joiners” in cables, turbines and semis equipment to a broadening industrial recovery fueled by German fiscal stimulus. The pair also discuss why Spain and Italy have outperformed and the bifurcated outlook for European autos.

  • 25 August 2026
podcast
Is the AI boom cracking? Inside July’s sell-off and beyond
  • Podcast

Is the AI boom cracking? Inside July’s sell-off and beyond

Enterprise artificial intelligence demand is booming, semiconductors remain volatile, and July’s sharp sell-off has left investors asking whether the AI trade is cracking or simply resetting. Hosted by Moz Afzal, Global CIO at EFG, in conversation with Henry Walters, EFG Equity Analyst, this episode explores what drove the July wobble – from crowded positioning and leverage to rising rates and credit spreads – against a backdrop of robust tech earnings and surging AI capital expenditure. They also discuss the battle between open and closed AI models as well as the key risks that could shape where AI infrastructure spending goes next.

  • 07 August 2026
podcast
Where technology ends and human intuition begins – onboard with Team Malizia
  • Podcast

Where technology ends and human intuition begins – onboard with Team Malizia

What happens when the models, forecasts and systems have done all they can – and it’s down to human judgment? Ocean racing skipper Boris Herrmann explains how he leads Team Malizia through some of the toughest races on the planet. While much of the race outcome is already determined through the preparation beforehand, intuition, trust and teamwork still play a vital role. Listen to this fascinating episode to hear what life is like in some of the most remote and demanding conditions.

  • 24 July 2026
podcast
Secondaries first: rethinking private market liquidity
  • Podcast

Secondaries first: rethinking private market liquidity

In EFG’s Outlook 2026 publication, private equity secondaries were highlighted as a key opportunity within private markets. In this episode, EFG CIO Moz Afzal is joined by Jake Elmhirst, Partner and Head of Private Wealth Secondaries Solutions at Coller Capital, to discuss why secondaries have become a core building block in client portfolios. They explore the current liquidity squeeze in private markets, how secondaries can offer diversification and potentially attractive risk adjusted returns, and why the growth of perpetual and semi liquid structures is changing how private wealth accesses private equity.

  • 09 July 2026
podcast
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Balancing growth opportunities and rising yields
  • Macro

Balancing growth opportunities and rising yields

Welcome to the July edition of InView: Monthly Global House View. In this publication we consider significant developments in the world’s markets, and discuss our key convictions and themes for the coming months.

  • 06 July 2026
  • Read time: 10 mins
article
Mid-Year Outlook 2026
  • Insight

Mid-Year Outlook 2026

Our Mid-Year Outlook revisits our top 10 themes in light of developments in the first half of the year and sets out how we are positioned for the remainder of 2026. We focus on how each theme has evolved and where we see the most compelling opportunities for investors in the second half.

  • 16 June 2026
read
The SpaceX IPO and the New Space Economy
  • Podcast

The SpaceX IPO and the New Space Economy

Alexandra Vidyuk, CEO and Founding Partner of Beyond Earth Ventures, sits down with Moz to explore how the SpaceX IPO marks a turning point in the commercialisation of space. Plummeting launch costs open the door to transformational new industries such as in-space pharmaceutical labs, orbital data centres and semiconductor crystal growth, and a new breed of founders are competing to reshape the sector.

  • 11 June 2026
podcast
Populism, higher rates and AI: How the market cycle is shaping up
  • Podcast

Populism, higher rates and AI: How the market cycle is shaping up

What does the “market balance sheet” for US equities look like? Jason Trennert, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Strategas Research Partners, weighs up the key assets and liabilities for investors today, from powerful earnings growth and AI-driven productivity gains to the headwinds from inflation, higher rates and geopolitics. Jason also explains why themes such as populism, deglobalisation and rising defence spending may keep underlying inflation and long-term interest rates higher than many investors expect – and what that could mean for assets. Plus, there is a look ahead to the coming wave of mega-cap initial public offerings, including SpaceX, and explore how these listings might affect global equity markets and the dominance of the US in world indices.

  • 13 May 2026
podcast
Making sense of the market bounce
  • Macro

Making sense of the market bounce

Welcome to the May edition of InView: Monthly Global House View. In this publication we consider significant developments in the world’s markets, and discuss our key convictions and themes for the coming months.

  • 07 May 2026
  • Read time: 10 mins
article
The asymmetries of the Strait of Hormuz blockade
  • Macro

The asymmetries of the Strait of Hormuz blockade

The Strait of Hormuz has been effectively closed to commercial traffic for nearly two months. Financial markets have focused mainly on the shortage of energy products, but the crisis is also disrupting the supply of other critical commodities. In this Macro Flash Note, Senior Economist and Strategist GianLuigi Mandruzzato considers the sectors most affected by the crisis in the Persian Gulf and how its impact differs across major economic areas.

  • 30 April 2026
  • Read time: 3 mins
article
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  • +44 (0)20 7491 9111
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  • +44 (0)20 7491 9111
  • [email protected]
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