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Outlook 2026

Insight

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Outlook 2026
  • Insight

Outlook 2026

Welcome to the 2026 Outlook. In this report, we present our top ten themes for the year ahead and provide a review of how our predictions for 2025 performed.

  • 17 November 2025
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Trade wars, AI tailwinds, and the global economic mosaic
  • Podcast

Trade wars, AI tailwinds, and the global economic mosaic

Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo Global Management unpacks the shifting macro landscape, from trade tensions and tariff impacts to the rapid industrial and artificial intelligence revolutions reshaping markets. In focus are the contrasting inflation dynamics between the US and Europe, risks tied to AI valuations, and what investors should watch in the months ahead.

  • 05 November 2025
podcast
Credit, debt cycles and bubbles with Michael Leithead
  • Podcast

Credit, debt cycles and bubbles with Michael Leithead

As the US economy eagerly awaits labour market data and whisperings of an AI bubble grow, Moz talks to Michael Leithead, Head of Fixed Income at EFGAM about the path ahead. In the spotlight are Fed rate cuts, the economic impacts of Artificial Intelligence and what some of the idiosyncratic risks are to be aware of in the current cycle.

  • 22 October 2025
podcast
Credit Spreads: How Low Can They Go?
  • Fixed income
  • Investment Insights

Credit Spreads: How Low Can They Go?

In this note we explain that a widening in credit spreads will not be driven by the perception of rich valuations alone, and that there are a number of reasons to believe that spreads can remain range bound or get even tighter despite trading near historic tights.

  • 14 October 2025
  • Read time: 5 minutes
article
What the Market Cycle Clock is telling us
  • Podcast

What the Market Cycle Clock is telling us

Renowned market technician Jeff deGraaf, Chairman of RenMac, helps explain what time it is on RenMac's Market Cycle Clock, and what it signals for equities. Alongside discussing sector opportunities, he also lays out the case for why he believes we’re in a broad-based global bull market, despite near term consolidation risks.

  • 09 October 2025
podcast
Love is Blind….Is Debt?
  • Fixed income
  • Investment Insights

Love is Blind….Is Debt?

Netflix tested if love is blind by stripping away appearances and focusing only on personality and values…some might call them “core fundamentals”. The TV show has been successful in demonstrating that love is indeed blind; theoretically the same should apply to how debt is priced, but is it?

  • 22 September 2025
  • Read time: 3 minutes
article
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EFG New Capital - An EFG brand

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Park House
116 Park Street
London
W1K 6AP

  • +44 (0)20 7491 9111
  • [email protected]
 

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Park House
116 Park Street
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W1K 6AP

  • +44 (0)20 7491 9111
  • [email protected]
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