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EFG New Capital

New Capital Strategic Portfolio Fund

Date:

Marketing Communication

Market Update

April was marked by volatility in financial markets due to President Trump’s tariff announcements on 2 April, which he termed Liberation Day. The MSCI ACWI index rose by 1.0% over the month, but this masked significant fluctuations. The index plummeted over 11% in four days following the tariff news, recovering only after a 90-day US tariff pause was announced. Emerging markets outperformed developed ones, benefiting from the weaker dollar. Gold prices soared to a record USD 3,500 per ounce, driven by its safe-haven appeal amid tariff uncertainties.

Investor sentiment rebounded in May, with the MSCI All Countries World Index rising by 5.8% in US dollar terms, bringing year-to-date performance back into positive territory. US government bond yields increased, with the 10-year yield nearing 4.50%, while the US dollar remained stable. Trade agreements between the Trump administration and the UK and China temporarily eased reciprocal tariffs, boosting global stock markets. However, tariff-related uncertainties persisted, including Trump’s threats of 50% duties on EU imports and subsequent legal challenges to his tariff regime. Moody’s downgraded the US sovereign rating due to rising public debt and potential institutional weakening.

Global equity markets rallied in June, with the MSCI All Countries World Index gaining 4.5%. Despite escalating tensions between Israel and Iran, which included US bombing of Iranian nuclear sites, a subsequent truce bolstered investor confidence, particularly in US and emerging markets. European markets lagged due to rising oil prices and currency appreciations against the US dollar and Asian currencies. The US stock market benefited from progress on Trump’s fiscal plan, offering tax cuts and increased spending on defence and border protection, albeit at the expense of higher public debt. Bond market yields fell amid slowing inflation and GDP growth, reinforcing expectations of further Federal Reserve interest rate cuts before year-end.

The second quarter was tumultuous but asset performance remained strong. The S&P 500 saw a significant decline after reciprocal US tariffs were announced but rebounded to end the quarter at a new record. The global economy remained resilient with minimal tariff impact on inflation. Geopolitical tensions included oil price volatility due to Israel's attacks on Iran, followed by a ceasefire. US fiscal concerns led to higher Treasury yields, while the US dollar experienced its worst first half performance since 1973.

Fund Performance & Positioning

During the second quarter the Fund returned +13.7% (vs +2.3% for the benchmark). During this period, the S&P 500 rose by +10.6% and the MSCI All Country World by +11.5%. In Europe the DJ Eurostoxx delivered +1.1% for the quarter, whilst in Asia the Hang Seng produced a return of +4.1%, all in local currency terms.

Asset Allocation (Alpha 1.34%)
During Q2, our asset allocation provided strong returns. This was primarily driven by our equity overweight relative to the reference benchmark and against fixed income. We remained committed to our sector and regional allocation favouring technology, consumer discretionary and communication services. Having zero exposure to commodities benefitted, whilst we saw a small detraction from alternatives and property.

Security Selection (Alpha 5.57%)
Despite the heightened volatility and cross asset correlation our security selection was extremely strong for the quarter. Here our allocation to the long duration growth sectors powered ahead following April’s sharp drawdown. In addition, we saw financials and industrials all move higher, whilst our short duration bond exposure worked well. With the property allocation key holdings added value as beneficiaries of lower rates.

The Fund’s asset allocation remained skewed towards equities over fixed income during the quarter. An opportunity to trim certain equity positions, locking-in profits and managing risk, was taken after a strong May-June period. The Fund reduced exposure to the US Treasury curve and maintained high-quality bonds. In real estate, an allocation to REITS and infrastructure was built-out, due to their sensitivity to lower interest rates. The allocations to commodities and hedge funds remained unchanged.

The second quarter provided strong returns across the Fund, bouncing back strongly following the end of Q1. Following the turmoil at the beginning of April in relation to Liberation Day, our long duration stocks and growth focus led the gains. Here we saw the month of April produce a positive return of 1.6%, followed by May +6.7% and June +5.0%, comfortably above our reference benchmark.

Driving these returns was primarily our asset allocation, favouring equity over bonds. With our equity exposure, overweight allocations to US, Europe and Asia helped and we also saw our UK names perform well. Despite the heightened level of uncertainty, we had seen a strong rebound across our equity holdings during the Q2. Growth stocks have outperformed Value since the April lows and we continue to see upside for our holdings, even with high valuations during Q1/Q2, the consensus indicates continued robust earnings growth for the portfolio’s holdings. This combined with high quality fixed income with a lower than benchmark duration added value. Our REITs/property allocation moved along, and we have added at the margin believing lower rates will benefit the sector.

Our portfolio has an overweight to the consumer discretionary sector on a global basis. Our focus has been on the luxury consumer companies in Europe, such as Hermes and Ferrari, and disruptive and innovative companies in the US, such as Airbnb and ON. Within the information technology sector, we have an allocation across companies which we believe are likely beneficiaries from artificial intelligence.

Within fixed income over the quarter US Treasury volatility increased. Government benchmark yields had been range bound. Corporate spreads, whilst experiencing marginal widening, have remained historically tight. We continue to concentrate on the high-quality investment grade names, whilst maintaining a reduced allocation to US Treasuries. Our overall yield from the fixed income component stands at 5.21% and here we are taking on board 3.4 years of duration with an overall credit rating of A-. Relative to the benchmark we are underweight duration and hold a credit rating quality two notches higher. We continue to see good opportunities in the 3-5yr dated credits.

Outlook

Risk assets, despite the barrage of negative headlines from tariffs, macroeconomics, domestic politics, monetary and fiscal policy and geopolitics finished on the quarter on a high note with some indices posting new highs. In our view we simply went past the “Peak” in all volatile cross currents during Q2 of 2025. We hold the view that we are past “peak” tariff concerns, peak inflation, peak geopolitical concerns and now believe the US administration soul focus is in restoring credible economic enhancing policies.

Over the second half of 2025, the US administration will likely focus on arranging tariff deals, alongside the recent budget bill which will be positive from a tax angle, concentrate on deregulation, lower oil prices, productivity enhancing AI initiatives all of which should support economic growth. We see a labour market which remains strong at the headline level, however, forward looking indicators suggesting some moderation. This should provide cover for the Federal Reserve to lower rates later this year, benefitting our portfolio holdings across IG bond names, US Treasuries and our long duration growth stocks.

Whilst we remain optimistic, we are also aware of the tail events which could arise during the second half of the year, and here we are able and willing to put in place protection if needed. Our view of a weakening dollar means we remain unhedged on our non-US -dollar holdings for now. We remain outside the commodity space for now, but should we see a meaningful pull back, we may re-engage. Lastly, despite our overall view we are past “peak” geopolitical uncertainty, we accept these may resurface, in this event from our perspective these periods of volatility have proven to be a good opportunity to add to high conviction themes.

Disclaimer

MARKETING COMMUNICATION

For professional clients, qualified investors and accredited investors only. The value of investments and the income derived from them can fall as well as rise, your capital is at risk. Note: Past performance is not a guide to the future. Returns may increase or decrease as a result of currency fluctuations.

All sources: EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited ("EFGAM"), Factset, Bloomberg, Morningstar as at end of the month.  Any other sources as applicable. 

This document has been produced by EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited for use by the EFG International  ("EFG Group" or "EFG") worldwide subsidiaries and affiliates within the EFG Group. EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited is authorised and regulated by the UK Financial Conduct Authority, registered no. 7389736. Registered address: EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited, Park House, 116 Park Street, London W1K 6AP, United Kingdom, telephone +44 (0)20 7491 9111. 

This document has been prepared solely for information purposes. The information contained herein constitutes a marketing communication and should not be construed as financial research or analysis, an offer, a public offer, an investment advice, a recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or subscribe to financial instruments and/or to the provision of a financial service. It is not intended to be a final representation of the terms and conditions of any investment, security, other financial instrument or other product or service. The content of this document is intended only for persons who understand and are capable of assuming all risks involved. Further, this document is not intended to provide any financial, legal, accounting or tax advice and should not be relied upon in this regard. The information in this document does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of the recipient. You should seek your own professional advice (including tax advice) suitable to your particular circumstances prior to making any investment or if you are in doubt as to the information in this document. 

Performance results shown are net of applicable fees and expenses. The value of investments and the income derived from them can fall as well as rise, and you may not get back the amount originally invested. Past performance is no indicator of future performance. Investment products may be subject to investment risks, involving but not limited to, currency exchange and market risks, fluctuations in value, liquidity risk and, where applicable, possible loss of principal invested. Some funds may have high volatility owing to portfolio composition or the portfolio management techniques utilised or be subject to various other risk factors. Such risks are set out in the Prospectus and KIID/KID.

A copy of the English version of the prospectus of the Fund and the key investor information document relating to the Fund is available on www.newcapital.com and may also be obtained from EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited. Where required under national rules, the key investor information document/the key information document will also be available in the local language of the relevant EEA Member State. 

The information provided in this document is not the result of financial research conducted by EFGAM’s research department. Therefore, it does not constitute investment or independent research as defined in EU regulation (such as “MIFID II” or “MIFIR”) nor under the Swiss “Directive on the Independence of Financial Research” issued by the Swiss Banking Association or any other equivalent local rules. Investors should carefully read the Prospectus and the Key Investor Information Document (KIID) and review such documents prior to taking any investment decisions.  This information can be obtained on request and free of charge from your client relationship officer.

Waystone Management Company (IE) Limited is the appointed Management Company and is regulated by the CBI. The Manager is a private limited company incorporated in Ireland under the company registration number C123529 with its registered office at 4th Floor, 35 Shelbourne Road, Ballsbridge, Dublin, D04 A4E0, Ireland.
 
Although information in this document has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, no member of the EFG group represents or warrants its accuracy, and such information may be incomplete or condensed. Any opinions in this document are subject to change without notice. This document may contain personal opinions which do not necessarily reflect the position of any member of the EFG group. To the fullest extent permissible by law, no member of the EFG group shall be responsible for the consequences of any errors or omissions herein, or reliance upon any opinion or statement contained herein, and each member of the EFG group expressly disclaims any liability, including (without limitation) liability for incidental or consequential damages, arising from the same or resulting from any action or inaction on the part of the recipient in reliance on this document.

EFG and its employees may engage in securities transactions, on a proprietary basis or otherwise and hold long or short positions with regard to the instruments identified herein; such transactions or positions may be inconsistent with the views expressed in this document.  

The availability of this document in any jurisdiction or country may be contrary to local law or regulation and persons who come into possession of this document should inform themselves of and observe any restrictions. This document may not be reproduced, disclosed or distributed (in whole or in part) to any other person without prior written permission from an authorised member of the EFG Group.

Financial intermediaries/independent asset managers who may be receiving this document confirm that they will need to make their own independent decisions and in addition shall ensure that, where provided to end clients/investors with the permission from the EFG Group, the content is in line with their own clients’ circumstances with regard to any investment, legal, regulatory, tax or other considerations. No liability is accepted by the EFG Group for any damages, losses or costs (whether direct, indirect or consequential) that may arise from any use of this document by the financial intermediaries/independent asset managers, their clients or any third parties.

Comparisons to indexes or benchmarks in this material are being provided for illustrative purposes only and have limitations because indexes and benchmarks have material characteristics that may differ from the particular investment strategies that are being pursued by EFG and securities in which it invests.

The information and views expressed herein at the time of writing are subject to change at any time without notice and there is no obligation to update or remove outdated information.
 
Risks associated with debt instruments with loss-absorption features – the Fund/Note/Account may invest in debt instruments with loss-absorption features, for example, contingent convertible debt securities (“CoCos”), senior non-preferred debts and subordinated debts issued by financial institutions. These debt instruments are subject to greater risks when compared to traditional debt instruments as such instruments typically include terms and conditions which may result in them being partly or wholly written off, written down, or converted to ordinary shares of the issuer upon the occurrence of a pre-defined trigger event (e.g. when the issuer is near or at the point of non-viability or when the issuer’s capital ratio falls to a specified level). Such trigger events are likely to be outside of the issuer’s control and are complex and difficult to predict and can result in a significant or total reduction in the value of such instruments.
 
Country of origin of the collective investment scheme:  Ireland.  The information contained in this document is merely a brief summary of key aspects of the fund.

More complete information on the fund can be found in the relevant memorandum and articles of association, prospectus, key information document, the addenda, the supplements and the most recent audited annual report and the most recent semi-annual report. These documents constitute the sole binding basis for the purchase of fund units. Copies of these documents are available free of charge and may be obtained upon request from www.newcapital.com and also as follows:

Ireland: from the registered office of the Fund at 35 Shelbourne Road, Ballsbridge, Dublin, Ireland

United Kingdom:  from the UK facilities agent, EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited, Park House, 116 Park Street, London W1K 6AF, United Kingdom

Switzerland: from the Swiss representative, CACEIS (Switzerland) SA, Route de Signy 35, CH-1260 Nyon 2 and the paying agent, EFG Bank SA, 24 Quai du Seujet, CH-1211, Geneva 2, Switzerland.

Italy: from the Italian paying agent, All funds Bank S.A.U., Milan Branch, Via Santa Margherita, 7 – 20121, Milan, Italy

Germany: from the German Facility Agent, FE fundinfo (Luxembourg) S.a.r.l. 6 Boulevard des Lumières, Belvaux 4369 Luxembourg

Austria, France, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain and Sweden: from the European Facility Service provider, FE fundinfo with registered address 6 Boulevard des Lumières, Belvaux, 4369 Luxembourg

Cyprus: from the Cypriot Paying Agent Eurobank Cyprus Ltd, 41 Makariou Avenue, 1065, Nicosia, Cyprus

Greece: from the Greek Paying Agent, Eurobank S.A., 8 Othonos Street, 10557 Athens, Greece

A summary of investor rights associated with an investment in the Fund shall be available in English from www.newcapital.com.

Termination of marketing arrangements: Waystone Management Company (IE) Limited have the right to terminate the arrangements made for marketing the Fund in certain jurisdictions and to certain investors. In such circumstances, Shareholders in the affected EEA Member State will be notified of this decision and will be provided with the opportunity to redeem their shareholding in the Fund free of any charges or deductions for at least 30 working days from the date of such notification. 

European Union: Waystone Investment Management (IE) Limited is the European investment distributor and is authorized in Ireland as an investment firm under the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive. Waystone Investment Management (IE) Limited acts as a distributor
in the European Union under reference number C1011 and Ireland. Waystone Investment Management (IE) Limited does not provide investment advice on an independent basis.

Hong Kong: This document is issued by EFG Asset Management (Hong Kong) Limited and has not been reviewed by the Securities and Futures Commission (‘SFC”) in Hong Kong. The SFC takes no responsibility for the contents of this statement and makes no representation as to its accuracy or completeness. Registered address: 18th Floor, International Commerce Centre, 1 Austin Road West, Kowloon, Hong Kong. The above information does not constitute an offer, solicitation or invitation, publicity or any other advice or recommendation. Informational sources are believed to be reliable and accurate at the time of issue but no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made as to the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information. Investment involves risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Before making any investment decision to invest in the Fund, you should read the Hong Kong offering documents and especially the risk factors therein. An investment in the Fund may not be suitable for everyone. If you are in any doubt about the contents of this document, you should consult your stockbroker, bank manager, solicitor, accountant or other financial adviser for independent professional advice. 

Singapore: This document shall be construed as part of the information memorandum (the "Information Memorandum") for the Fund, which shall be deemed to include and incorporate this document and any other document, correspondence, communication or material sent or provided to eligible participants in relation to the Fund from time to time. Accordingly, this document must not be relied upon or construed on its own without reference to and as part of the Information Memorandum.

The Fund has not been authorised or recognised by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (“MAS”), and the units in the Fund (the "Units") are not allowed to be offered to the retail public. Moreover, the Information Memorandum is not a prospectus as defined in the Securities and Futures Act 2001 of Singapore, as amended or modified from time to time (“SFA”), and statutory liability under the SFA in relation to the content of prospectuses would not apply. The Information Memorandum has not been and will not be registered as a prospectus with the MAS. Accordingly, the Information Memorandum, this document and any other document or material in connection with the offer or sale, or invitation for subscription or purchase, of the Units may not be circulated or distributed, nor may the Units be offered or sold, or be made the subject of an invitation for subscription or purchase, whether directly or indirectly, to the public, any member of the public or any person in Singapore, other than under an exemption provided in the SFA for offers made (a) to an institutional investor (as defined in Section 4A of the SFA) pursuant to Section 304 of the SFA, (b) to a relevant person (as defined in Section 305(5) of the SFA), or any person pursuant to an offer referred to in Section 305(2) of the SFA, and in accordance with the conditions specified in Section 305 of the SFA, or (c) otherwise pursuant to, and in accordance with, the conditions of any other applicable provision of the SFA. The Units are classified as "capital markets products other than prescribed capital markets products" (as defined in the Securities and Futures (Capital Markets Products) Regulations 2018 and Specified Investment Products (as defined in MAS Notice SFA 04-N12: Notice on the Sale of Investment Products and MAS Notice FAA-N16: Notice on Recommendations on Investment Products).

Information for investors in Australia: 
For Professional, Institutional and Wholesale Investors Only. This document has been prepared and issued by EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited, a private limited company with registered number 7389736 and with its registered office address at Park House, Park Street, London W1K 6AP (telephone number +44 (0)20 7491 9111). EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited is regulated and authorized by the Financial Conduct Authority No. 536771. EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited is exempt from the requirement to hold an Australian financial services licence in respect of the financial services it provides to wholesale clients in Australia and is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority of the United Kingdom (FCA Registration No. 536771) under the laws of the United Kingdom which differ from Australian laws.  This document is personnal and intended solely for the use of the person to whom it is given or sent and may not be reproduced, in whole or in part, to any other person.
 ASIC Class Order CO 03/1099 EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited notifies you that it is relying on the Australian Securities & Investments Commission (ASIC) Class Order CO 03/1099 (Class Order) exemption (as extended in operation by ASIC Corporations (Repeal and Transitional Instrument 2016/396) for UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) regulated firms which exempts it from the requirement to hold an Australian financial services licence (AFSL) under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) (Corporations Act) in respect of the financial services we provide to you. 

UK Regulatory Requirements 
The financial services that we provide to you are regulated by the FCA under the laws and regulatory requirements of the United Kingdom which are different to Australia. Consequently any offer or other documentation that you receive from us in the course of us providing financial services to you will be prepared in accordance with those laws and regulatory requirements. The UK regulatory requirements refer to legislation, rules enacted pursuant to the legislation and any other relevant policies or documents issued by the FCA.  Your Status as a Wholesale Client. In order that we may provide financial services to you, and for us to comply with the Class Order, you must be a 'wholesale client' within the meaning given by section 761G of the Corporations Act. Accordingly, by accepting any documentation from us prior to the commencement of or in the course of us providing financial services to you, you warrant to us that you are a ‘wholesale client’; agree to provide such information or evidence that we may request from time to time to confirm your status as a wholesale client; agree that we may cease providing financial services to you if you are no longer a wholesale client or do not provide us with information or evidence satisfactory to us to confirm your status as a wholesale client; 
and agree to notify us in writing within 5 business days if you cease to be a 'wholesale client' for the purposes of the financial services that we provide to you.

IMPORTANT NOTE: FOR PUBLICATIONS WITH CONTENT RELATED TO FUNDS

Offering Documents 

Neither this document nor any document under which Interests in the New Capital UCITS Fund plc (the “Fund”) are offered is a prospectus, product disclosure statement or other formal disclosure document under the Corporations Act.  Interests in the Fund may not be offered, issued, sold or distributed in Australia other than by way of or pursuant to an offer or invitation that does not need disclosure to investors either under Part 7.9 or Part 6D.2 of the Corporations Act, whether by reason of the investor being a wholesale client (as defined in section 761G of the Corporations Act and applicable regulations) or otherwise. Nothing in this document nor any document under which interests in the Fund are offered constitutes an offer of interests in a financial product or financial product advice to a 'retail client' (as defined in section 761G of the Corporations Act and applicable regulations).

The issuer of the interests in the Fund relies on exemptions available under Australian law from the need to hold an AFSL for the provision of financial services to Australian wholesale clients. Note that as all investors must be wholesale clients, no cooling off rights are available in relation to an investment in the Fund.

Contact us:
Park House
116 Park Street
London
W1K 6AP
UK

+44 (0)20 7491 9111
[email protected]

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