MARKETING COMMUNICATION
For professional clients, qualified investors and accredited investors only. The value of investments and the income derived from them can fall as well as rise, your capital is at risk. Note: Past performance is not a guide to the future. Returns may increase or decrease as a result of currency fluctuations.
All sources: EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited ("EFGAM"), Factset, Bloomberg, Morningstar as at end of the month. Any other sources as applicable.
This document has been produced by EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited for use by the EFG International ("EFG Group" or "EFG") worldwide subsidiaries and affiliates within the EFG Group. EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited is authorised and regulated by the UK Financial Conduct Authority, registered no. 7389736. Registered address: EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited, Park House, 116 Park Street, London W1K 6AP, United Kingdom, telephone +44 (0)20 7491 9111.
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A copy of the English version of the prospectus of the Fund and the key investor information document relating to the Fund is available on www.newcapital.com and may also be obtained from EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited. Where required under national rules, the key investor information document/the key information document will also be available in the local language of the relevant EEA Member State.
The information provided in this document is not the result of financial research conducted by EFGAM’s research department. Therefore, it does not constitute investment or independent research as defined in EU regulation (such as “MIFID II” or “MIFIR”) nor under the Swiss “Directive on the Independence of Financial Research” issued by the Swiss Banking Association or any other equivalent local rules. Investors should carefully read the Prospectus and the Key Investor Information Document (KIID) and review such documents prior to taking any investment decisions. This information can be obtained on request and free of charge from your client relationship officer.
Waystone Management Company (IE) Limited is the appointed Management Company and is regulated by the CBI. The Manager is a private limited company incorporated in Ireland under the company registration number C123529 with its registered office at 4th Floor, 35 Shelbourne Road, Ballsbridge, Dublin, D04 A4E0, Ireland.
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Comparisons to indexes or benchmarks in this material are being provided for illustrative purposes only and have limitations because indexes and benchmarks have material characteristics that may differ from the particular investment strategies that are being pursued by EFG and securities in which it invests.
The information and views expressed herein at the time of writing are subject to change at any time without notice and there is no obligation to update or remove outdated information.
Risks associated with debt instruments with loss-absorption features – the Fund/Note/Account may invest in debt instruments with loss-absorption features, for example, contingent convertible debt securities (“CoCos”), senior non-preferred debts and subordinated debts issued by financial institutions. These debt instruments are subject to greater risks when compared to traditional debt instruments as such instruments typically include terms and conditions which may result in them being partly or wholly written off, written down, or converted to ordinary shares of the issuer upon the occurrence of a pre-defined trigger event (e.g. when the issuer is near or at the point of non-viability or when the issuer’s capital ratio falls to a specified level). Such trigger events are likely to be outside of the issuer’s control and are complex and difficult to predict and can result in a significant or total reduction in the value of such instruments.
Country of origin of the collective investment scheme: Ireland. The information contained in this document is merely a brief summary of key aspects of the fund.
More complete information on the fund can be found in the relevant memorandum and articles of association, prospectus, key information document, the addenda, the supplements and the most recent audited annual report and the most recent semi-annual report. These documents constitute the sole binding basis for the purchase of fund units. Copies of these documents are available free of charge and may be obtained upon request from www.newcapital.com and also as follows:
Ireland: from the registered office of the Fund at 35 Shelbourne Road, Ballsbridge, Dublin, Ireland
United Kingdom: from the UK facilities agent, EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited, Park House, 116 Park Street, London W1K 6AF, United Kingdom
Switzerland: from the Swiss representative, CACEIS (Switzerland) SA, Route de Signy 35, CH-1260 Nyon 2 and the paying agent, EFG Bank SA, 24 Quai du Seujet, CH-1211, Geneva 2, Switzerland.
Italy: from the Italian paying agent, All funds Bank S.A.U., Milan Branch, Via Santa Margherita, 7 – 20121, Milan, Italy
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Austria, France, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain and Sweden: from the European Facility Service provider, FE fundinfo with registered address 6 Boulevard des Lumières, Belvaux, 4369 Luxembourg
Cyprus: from the Cypriot Paying Agent Eurobank Cyprus Ltd, 41 Makariou Avenue, 1065, Nicosia, Cyprus
Greece: from the Greek Paying Agent, Eurobank S.A., 8 Othonos Street, 10557 Athens, Greece
A summary of investor rights associated with an investment in the Fund shall be available in English from www.newcapital.com.
Termination of marketing arrangements: Waystone Management Company (IE) Limited have the right to terminate the arrangements made for marketing the Fund in certain jurisdictions and to certain investors. In such circumstances, Shareholders in the affected EEA Member State will be notified of this decision and will be provided with the opportunity to redeem their shareholding in the Fund free of any charges or deductions for at least 30 working days from the date of such notification.
European Union: Waystone Investment Management (IE) Limited is the European investment distributor and is authorized in Ireland as an investment firm under the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive. Waystone Investment Management (IE) Limited acts as a distributor
in the European Union under reference number C1011 and Ireland. Waystone Investment Management (IE) Limited does not provide investment advice on an independent basis.
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Information for investors in Australia:
For Professional, Institutional and Wholesale Investors Only. This document has been prepared and issued by EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited, a private limited company with registered number 7389736 and with its registered office address at Park House, Park Street, London W1K 6AP (telephone number +44 (0)20 7491 9111). EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited is regulated and authorized by the Financial Conduct Authority No. 536771. EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited is exempt from the requirement to hold an Australian financial services licence in respect of the financial services it provides to wholesale clients in Australia and is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority of the United Kingdom (FCA Registration No. 536771) under the laws of the United Kingdom which differ from Australian laws. This document is personnal and intended solely for the use of the person to whom it is given or sent and may not be reproduced, in whole or in part, to any other person.
ASIC Class Order CO 03/1099 EFG Asset Management (UK) Limited notifies you that it is relying on the Australian Securities & Investments Commission (ASIC) Class Order CO 03/1099 (Class Order) exemption (as extended in operation by ASIC Corporations (Repeal and Transitional Instrument 2016/396) for UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) regulated firms which exempts it from the requirement to hold an Australian financial services licence (AFSL) under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) (Corporations Act) in respect of the financial services we provide to you.
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The financial services that we provide to you are regulated by the FCA under the laws and regulatory requirements of the United Kingdom which are different to Australia. Consequently any offer or other documentation that you receive from us in the course of us providing financial services to you will be prepared in accordance with those laws and regulatory requirements. The UK regulatory requirements refer to legislation, rules enacted pursuant to the legislation and any other relevant policies or documents issued by the FCA. Your Status as a Wholesale Client. In order that we may provide financial services to you, and for us to comply with the Class Order, you must be a 'wholesale client' within the meaning given by section 761G of the Corporations Act. Accordingly, by accepting any documentation from us prior to the commencement of or in the course of us providing financial services to you, you warrant to us that you are a ‘wholesale client’; agree to provide such information or evidence that we may request from time to time to confirm your status as a wholesale client; agree that we may cease providing financial services to you if you are no longer a wholesale client or do not provide us with information or evidence satisfactory to us to confirm your status as a wholesale client;
and agree to notify us in writing within 5 business days if you cease to be a 'wholesale client' for the purposes of the financial services that we provide to you.
IMPORTANT NOTE: FOR PUBLICATIONS WITH CONTENT RELATED TO FUNDS
Offering Documents
Neither this document nor any document under which Interests in the New Capital UCITS Fund plc (the “Fund”) are offered is a prospectus, product disclosure statement or other formal disclosure document under the Corporations Act. Interests in the Fund may not be offered, issued, sold or distributed in Australia other than by way of or pursuant to an offer or invitation that does not need disclosure to investors either under Part 7.9 or Part 6D.2 of the Corporations Act, whether by reason of the investor being a wholesale client (as defined in section 761G of the Corporations Act and applicable regulations) or otherwise. Nothing in this document nor any document under which interests in the Fund are offered constitutes an offer of interests in a financial product or financial product advice to a 'retail client' (as defined in section 761G of the Corporations Act and applicable regulations).
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New Capital Euro Value Credit Fund
Marketing Communication | Quarterly Commentary
Market Update
In the second quarter of 2024, returns on European fixed income proved flattish, driven by an environment of better economic growth, declining inflation and shift in monetary policy.
Macroeconomic conditions generally improved, with forward looking indicators pointing toward stronger performance, especially in the service sector, and hard numbers providing some constructive signals. Inflation continued trending lower but stabilized above the 2% target. The European Central Bank (ECB) finally managed to reduce interest rates by 25 bps in the June meeting.
European fixed income markets took advantage of the stability in credit spreads but suffered from the rise in interest rates on the long end. As reference, 2 years German bund pivoted around 2.85%, while the 10-year bond moved 20 bps higher to 2.50%. French government bonds spreads widened to 85 bps at quarter end, while other peripheral countries adjusted accordingly. Corporate spreads modestly widened across the board both in investment grade and in high yield.
Fund Performance & Positioning
The Fund entered the second quarter acknowledging the challenging macroeconomic environment and the ongoing shift in monetary policy. The Fund balanced conviction on individual credits with a relative cautious view on the credit market. The portfolio was positioned to take advantage of issuers with tightening potential and securities with attractive carry.
In absolute terms, EVC returned a meagre +0.03% over the period. The quarterly performance was primarily driven by carry (94 bps), while interest rates dragged returns by 64 bps and credit spreads had a neutral impact. In relative terms the Fund underperformed the index (BofA Merrill Lynch
European Large Cap Corporate Bond) by 9 basis points.
As mentioned, the yield curve was the main drag to performance. The term structure steepened in Q2, with short term rates anchored by monetary policy expectations and longer maturities impacted by the more benign growth outlook. As widely expected, the ECB cut rates by 25 bps in June bringing deposit rates to 3.75% and refinancing rates to 4.25%. President Lagarde reiterated the Council’s data dependent approach, removing the easing bias introduced in April and leaving options open for subsequent meetings. Staff projections showed a significant upgrade to growth in 2024 and a more limited upgrade to inflation in 2024-2025.
Credit spreads narrowed in the first part of the quarter and retraced on the news of French elections. Investment grade bonds ended Q2 modestly wider (6 bps). Better performance was recorded among energy and financials, while sectors like utilities telecom and cyclicals proved the weakest. In the high beta segment BB softened 22 bps, AT1 spreads narrowed 5 bps and corporate hybrids widened 3 bps. The Fund proved well positioned to take advantage of good performance of financials, where we maintained a significant overweight. Outside financials, performance looked more idiosyncratic and mostly driven by duration rather than sector considerations.
Outlook
The outlook for European fixed income seems rather uncertain at the moment, with inflation still above target, growth picking up and a complex geopolitical context.
On the macroeconomic side, the European economy is indeed improving, but likely to continue to growth slowly. At the same time, inflation has stabilised but it is not yet at levels consistent with the central bank mandate. This leaves the ECB little flexibility to reduce interest rates further. The yield curve largely reflects these considerations, particularly at the short end, where the market prices a prudent path to monetary policy normalisation. The outlook is further complicated by the usual geopolitical hot spots (Ukraine, Middle East) and more recently by the outcome of French elections, which could influence the future of some European policies.
On the corporate side, the picture looks comforting: the recent earning season has shown good resilience, particularly among the investment grade names. Balance sheets are generally sound and credit quality good, with levels of debt relatively low and interest rate coverage high across most industries. Nevertheless, idiosyncratic risks remain somehow material, as demonstrated by few recent cases.
Despite recent softening, European credit spreads trade close to five years lows and valuations seem rich given the current macroeconomic environment. On the other side, various considerations provide different indications.
In general, the yield to quality trade off still points in favour of European investment grade credits, compared to other alternatives in the fixed income space. The same applies across asset classes, where investment grade credit still scores attractive to equities. Moreover, the technical picture is likely to stay strong, with a manageable supply pipeline matched by good investors’ appetite, as demonstrated by recent deals and inflow in the sector.
In conclusion, the outlook remains relatively constructive: despite non generous valuations, European credit offers exposure to high quality companies and sensitivity to interest rates. This might be a valid hedge in the current environment of declining inflation and slow economic growth.
Fund Manager
Roberto Matta
Senior Portfolio Manager
Lugano
Fixed income
Detail
Michael Leithead
Senior Portfolio Manager and Head of Fixed Income
London
Fixed income
Detail
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